Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Titans vs. Texans odds, line: ‘Monday Night Football’ picks, predictions from model on 12-0 roll

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Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans

Week 12 of the NFL season closes on a climactic note as the Houston Texans host the Tennessee Titans in a crucial divisional matchup on “Monday Night Football.” Kickoff from NRG Stadium is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. While the Texans have won seven straight after an 0-3 start, the Titans have beaten the Patriots and Cowboys in their past three games. Sportsbooks list Houston as a 3.5-point home favorite after the line climbed as high as 6.5. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, is 42 in the latest Texans vs. Titans odds. Before you make any Texans vs. Titans picks for “Monday Night Football,” check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

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The advanced computer model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat over 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 12 on a blistering 12-0 run. For the season, it is now 26-9 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 74-43. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model is 105-53 this season, again ranking in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. Anybody who has been following it is way, way up.

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Now the model has dialed in on Titans vs. Texans. We can tell you it’s leaning over, but it also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model has factored in that the Texans have taken control of the AFC South with their defense — notably Jadeveon Clowney and J.J. Watt, who have combined for 16.5 of the team’s 28 sacks. Both made keys sacks last week against the Redskins to secure a 23-21 victory. Over their past six games, the Texans have allowed only 97 points, an average of just 16 per game.

Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson continues to show better pocket awareness in his sophomore year. While the quarterback often bolted at the first sign of trouble last season, this year he’s buying time to find open receivers. For the season, he has 18 touchdown passes and 275 rushing yards.

But just because Watson is hot and the Texans’ defense is one of the league’s most dominant doesn’t mean the Titans can’t cover 3.5 points, especially with Marcus Mariota under center and a rock solid defense.

Mariota suffered a stinger last week against the Colts, but was removed from the injury report this week and will start on Monday Night Football. He’s fresh off throwing four touchdowns and no interceptions in back-to-back victories against the Cowboys and Patriots.

Despite allowing 38 to the Colts last week, the Titans still have the second-stiffest scoring defense in the league at 18.9 points. Led by Wesley Woodyard’s team-high 65 tackles — 3.5 of them sacks — Tennessee’s front seven is adept at containing opposing quarterbacks, which allows their strong secondary to stick with receivers.

Who wins Titans vs. Texans? And which side covers in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to be all over Monday night, all from the incredible computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors.

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